NFL Week 13 Best Bets Against the Spread

This is a weekly aide for making a few dollars betting the NFL. Each week I will give you my three favorite bets of the week against the spread. For transparency, I will give you my record. All lines are courtesy of MyBookie.ag.

Season Record: 16-17

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-3) over Los Angeles Chargers

I often love to run in the opposite direction when the action hits 80 percent on one side; it’s rare, however, to be able to jump on a home team with a future Hall of Fame QB and the best wide receiver in football, giving only three points, with 90 percent of the action on the road team. The Chargers are a darling team lately, and for good reason. Their defense is merely good, and the Steelers are notorious for playing worse on the road. The masses are down on the Steelers after dropping last week’s game at Denver and looking sluggish in the previous game against the Jaguars. Take advantage of the masses underestimating Pittsburgh’s tendency to struggle on the road, especially against tough defenses. This is a matchup that will have playoff seeding consequences, so expect both teams’ best.

Washington Redskins (+6.5) over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Washington has a banged up offensive line, Colt McCoy at QB, and old man Adrian Peterson trying to carry the offense on his back. But rather than run away from the ‘Skins, who have overachieved in 2018, I’d rather throw in my lot with them against a Philadelphia defense that’s all reputation. The Eagles have been hung over from their Super Bowl in all year, and their defense ranks 26th in the NFL per FootballOutsiders.com’s Weighted Defense metric. Their offense is out of sorts, and the defense is vulnerable, particularly against the run (24th). The Eagles may eke out a victory here at home, but I’m not giving them 6.5 points until they show me something.

Arizona Cardinals (+14) over GREEN BAY PACKERS

Green Bay may be at home, and they may have Aaron Rodgers, but this team is a far cry from the monsters of Lambeau Field’s past. This defense ranks 20th in the NFL, and while the offense still hums, Arizona should be able to score behind David Johnson and an improving Josh Rosen. I fully expect the Packers to win this game, but I can’t get behind a 4-6-1 squad giving two touchdowns, especially one with weapons like Johnson and Larry Fitzgeald lining up vs. a subpar defense.