2024 Team Previews: New York Giants
New York Giants 2024 Preview
All ADP data is courtesy of Fantasy Pros.
** = target in drafts at this ADP
Top 120
Malik Nabers, WR (ADP: 50, WR24): Nabers is an insane talent, and was considered by many to be the top WR in this draft class, which was particularly loaded. I don’t disagree with any of that, but the fact of the matter is that Nabers is still untested at the NFL level and has a lot working against him to return value on this ADP, let alone exceed it. For starters, as exceptional as he was at LSU, it wasn’t the NFL. And second, he is downgrading both at QB, from Jayden Daniels to Daniel Jones, and in surrounding talent to relieve defensive pressure.
Nabers, who put up 1,569 yards and 14 touchdowns at LSU, is coming to New York as the primary pass-catcher for a team that had the third-worst Pass DVOA (-16.9%) in the NFL last season and hasn’t addressed the QB position at all, but did lose one of the NFL’s best RBs in Saquon Barkley. This situation should be a boon for his volume, but between the focus of the defense on him and the overall underwhelming quality of targets coming from Jones, the ADP seems very aspirational. Nabers has earned comparisons to Odell Beckham Jr., not only because they’re both LSU alums, but because their explosiveness at all levels of the field is similar. But Beckham arrived on a team with far better QB play and a healthier overall offensive environment.
Nabers is going to put up numbers, and his volume alone will make him a quality fantasy receiver in Year 1, but TDs could be a struggle in what might be a very low-scoring offense, and the downfield nature of his skill set could lead to some dud games and weekly inconsistency. I’d love it if he were going a round or two later, but here, I think there’s a good amount of risk involved.
Devin Singletary, RB (ADP: 85, RB29): Unlike Nabers, Singletary presents almost zero risk at this ADP. Singletary’s always been a good NFL RB, begging for the opportunity to be a workhorse. He’s averaged 4.6 yards per carry for his career, produced as a pass-catcher when called upon, and almost always performed when given 15+ carries. Heading into 2024, Singletary is undoubtedly the bell cow for this team, and we can expect a lot of volume for him with a middling QB under center and a pass-catching corps that had zero credible threats in 2023, and now has….one.
As I pointed out here when I called Singletary a Veteran Value, he finished 2023 strong and it coincided unsurprisingly with volume. Singletary officially supplanted Dameon Pierce in Week 10, when he got 30 carries and turned it into 150 yards and a touchdown. Fromm Week 10 on, Singletary saw 15+ carries five times, and topped 100 yards in three of those games while going for 63+ yards each time. He will regularly see that level of volume in this offense as they protect Jones, and bring their young but explosive receivers up to speed. Will Singletary be a league winner? Doubtful, but he will serve as quality depth for any manager who picks him up fairly deep into their draft, and he has low-end RB2 potential as the preferred goal line option.
Fantasy Relevant (120-150 ADP)
Favorite Deep Sleeper
Jalin Hyatt, WR (ADP: 276, WR82): Hyatt has ridiculous speed, and while he is far from a well-rounded receiver, and can’t be depended on as a consistent contributor, he can definitely be an impactful player for both the real-life offense and fantasy managers. Hyatt was drafted with the knowledge that he’d be a bit of a project, but his 21-yard average depth of target was the deepest in football by a country mile, and also an unserious mark if the intention is for Hyatt to be productive.
Now that Nabers is on board, he’s capable of doing damage down the field and threatening defenses deep, meaning the Giants can manufacture touches for Hyatt closer to the line of scrimmage that also take advantage of his blinding speed by getting him in space. Of course, maybe they just manufacture these touches for Nabers, but it would seem wise to get as much of this track speed on the field as possible, and because Nabers is a far superior technician, this setup allows both guys to be threats. Even if the Giants get creative with Hyatt, that’s not going to be enough to make him a trusted weekly option. If he’s getting consistent work though, even if it’s very little, he could wind up as a desperation, high-upside FLEX play a la Mecole Hardman on the Chiefs at one point. But Hyatt needs to be on the field for that to occur.
Deep Cuts (150 & later)
**Daniel Jones, QB (ADP: 216, QB28): Jones isn’t the best, but watching Tommy DeVito can give you an appreciation for Jones’ mediocrity. I’m well past the point of thinking Jones can ascend into a low-end QB1, but based on his rushing floor his current ADP seems out of whack. His recent neck and knee injuries may cause Jones’ rushing to crater, but if he can return to his previous levels, coupled with having a legitimate WR1 on the field in Nabers, this ADP is a big overreaction to his injury-riddled 2021 and 2023 campaigns. In two-QB/SuperFlex leagues, this is a moderate value.
Wan’Dale Robinson, WR (ADP: 228, WR77): Robinson is a one-dimensional receiver who is slot-only, and might be on the field a lot less than he has been in the past with Nabers in the mix. Nabers is primarily an outside receiver, but a talent like him should be moving all over the formation to keep defenses on their toes, and that can’t happen as much with Robinson anchored inside. At best, Robinson is a full-PPR depth receiver because he lives off short targets that almost serve as an extension of the running game. If he keeps that role, he’ll be viable in deep, full-PPR formats. If not, he will just be one of many WRs that have a real-life purpose, but not a fantasy one.
Darius Slayton, WR (ADP: 304, WR102): Slayton seems to have settled into a 700ish-yard, four or so TD kind of guy, and now that Nabers has arrived, he can go one of two ways. He plays opposite Nabers on the outside, and puts up these numbers, or he falls off the map entirely. Either way, he won’t be fantasy relevant so for our purposes it doesn’t matter much.
Theo Johnson, TE (ADP: 282, TE33): Johnson is a big, fast man who really could be impactful out of the gate in this passing offense because there aren’t any established go-to pass-catchers besides Nabers, his fellow rookie. He’s not a player anyone can reasonably draft in redraft or even regular keeper leagues, but as a waiver pickup in dynasty leagues there’s no harm in it.
Daniel Bellinger, TE (ADP: 293, TE35): Bellinger projects as the starting TE, but even though he figures to be on the field a ton, there’s nothing to be excited for. At best, he scores a few TDs, but you’ll never be able to predict them, and he is not going to rack up useful reception or yardage totals.