2024 Team Previews: New York Jets

New York Jets 2024 Preview

All ADP data is courtesy of Fantasy Pros.

** = target in drafts at this ADP

Top 120

**Breece Hall, RB (ADP: 6, RB2): Hall started the year off looking explosive, but his carry counts were held down as he was coming off a severe knee injury suffered in his rookie year. It wasn’t until Week 5 that Hall got more than 12 carries in a game, and this lack of volume hurt him even though he’s one of the most efficient running backs in football. His final numbers – 994 rushing yards, five rushing touchdowns – don’t exactly look like Top 3 RB production, but we have to account for his meager early workload, and the fact that he was running behind one of the most ineffective offensive lines in the NFL. He was still able to break off huge runs – seven runs of 25+ yards to be precise – but the line and lack of competent QB play limited his rushing more often than not.

That should improve this season, with the Jets retooling the whole unit and coming in as PFF’s fifth-best line ahead of the season. And improved rushing numbers will spell elite production when paired with the insane receiving numbers Hall amassed in a season where he was one of two viable options for one of the league’s lowest-scoring outfits. He earned PFF’s best receiving grade (88.9) at the position, was second in the league to only Alvin Kamara in receptions per game (4.5), and had the most receiving yards of any RB in football (591). Those numbers are completely sustainable, because the Jets’ WR corps hasn’t been restocked with high-volume players, and the QB play should be exponentially improved with Aaron Rodgers, or, if Rodgers goes down again, Tyrod Taylor. Barring injury, it’s hard to envision Hall letting you down even at this ADP, because he was already a fantasy gem in one of the worst offensive environments in recent memory.

**Garrett Wilson, WR (ADP: 11, WR8): Wilson, like Hall, is a superstar who played last season in handcuffs and still was able to shine. He was thought by some to have WR1 overall potential with Aaron Rodgers coming in to helm a functional offense, and then Rodgers’ season ended in four plays, leaving Wilson to once again grit his teeth and bear the agony of Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian and Tim Boyle throwing him the ball. Despite that unholy trinity, Wilson scraped together his second straight 1,000-yard season and never let despair seep into his craft.

Per Reception Perception, Wilson offered everything you could ever want from a WR1. His second most run route was the nine, and he succeeded at a 62.1% clip. His most common route was the slant, which he won at a 90% rate. Garrett Wilson was simply filthy, approaching 80% success vs. man coverage and putting him in the 96th percentile. He was better than 80% vs. press coverage, and he was at 82% against zone. You flat out couldn’t do anything with Garrett Wilson as a defense, you just had to rely on the Jets QBs to be atrocious, which they were. In 2024, Wilson’s going to be the same, unstoppable player. At this point, 1,000 yards and 85-100 receptions is his floor. If Aaron Rodgers can stay on the field, we’re looking at a TD spike and a potential Top 5 pick next season. And if Rodgers does get hurt, Taylor should be competent enough to support Wilson to the extent that he justifies this ADP.

Fantasy Relevant (120-150 ADP)

Aaron Rodgers, QB (ADP: 139, QB21): Rodgers’ 2023 was so brief that we have no information to go off of. The good news is that the Jets did address the offensive line, so Rodgers stands a better chance of staying healthy, and the Jets also took some steps to upgrade the pass-catching corps. Of course, Rodgers is entering his age-41 season coming off a torn Achilles tendon, and the last full season of him we saw him limp to 26 touchdowns, 12 INTs and dip below 4,000 passing yards for the first time since an injury-shortened 2017 campaign. Rodgers could very well be a useful fantasy QB, considering he has a legitimate superstar as his top target, but whatever mobility he still had evaporated when his Achilles snapped, and pure pocket passers with zero rushing production already face an uphill battle for relevance. He’s likely to be a high-end streaming option in the right matchups, but I’m not even viewing him as an option for managers who wait on QB for late value.

Mike Williams, WR (ADP: 135, WR58): Speaking of coming off big injuries, Mike Williams was the offseason pass-catching prize for Gang Green, and he could be a critical piece of making this offense finally operational. Williams has never been one for full-PPR formats because he’s always been a downfield threat, lining up on the outside. He’s on the extreme end of the X receiver deep threat spectrum; who can forget his 2019 campaign in which he eclipsed 1,000 yards on just 49 receptions? If Williams can rebound to his old self from his injury, he’ll be very meaningful to both Rodgers, who should have more time in 2024 to find guys downfield, but also to Garrett Wilson who can be freed up for more short and intermediate work. He is a massive upgrade on Allen Lazard in this role. Will he be a stalwart in fantasy lineups? This…is less certain. We don’t know what Rodgers has left in the tank, and we do know that the offense revolves around Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. More often than not, the Williams experience is inconsistent and frustrating, and I wouldn’t expect that to change. He’s a FLEX option, but nothing more than that, and hopefully a player serving as high-ceiling depth rather than one you’re reliant on.

Favorite Deep Sleeper:

Malachi Corley, WR (ADP: 204, WR80): Corley is a very interesting player, especially since Rodgers allegedly pushed for the Jets to draft him. He definitely has the college production that you want to see from someone who can impact the team in Year 1, but his Reception Perception breakdown lays out a complicated path to relevance for him. His route tree at Western Kentucky was…basic… to put it politely. 36.4% of his routes were slants, and 16.2% were screens, both of which maximized his ability to absolutely humiliate defenders in space. His nickname is the “YAC king” for a reason; he’s electric with the ball in his hands. There’s also a need for that on this team, since Williams is a strictly outside weapon, and one of the only areas on Wilson’s route tree that wasn’t bright green was in the flat. Corley should be a helpful player for this offense in real life, and I can see him flashing for big plays at times, but it’s a stretch to believe a player this unrefined could contribute weekly with any consistency. As a dynasty play, he could be fun down the road.

Deep Cuts (150 & later)

Tyler Conklin, TE (ADP: 168, TE20): Conklin was surprisingly active in the Jets passing game last season, matching a career-high for receptions (61) and putting up a career-best 621 yards. There were no touchdowns, unfortunately, and with the weaponry in this passing game upgraded, I’d expect Conklin’s role to recede. He can stream in the right matchup, but that’s where his relevance ends.

Braelon Allen, RB (ADP: 184, RB59): Allen is a bruiser, and I’d be very intrigued if he wasn’t playing behind Hall. As it stands, he’d be a very interesting fantasy option if disaster strikes and Hall has to miss significant time. Allen scored double-digit touchdowns in each of his three college seasons for Wisconsin and rushed for more than 1,200 yards twice. He also caught 28 passes as a junior, teasing potential to be a three-down back. I’m not one for drafting pure handcuffs, so I won’t be rostering him unless we see Hall get hurt. But if that were to happen, I believe Allen could be very fantasy relevant very quickly.

Xavier Gipson, WR (ADP: 293, WR111): Gipson is certainly an electrifying athlete, but drafting Corley, to me, spells doom for Gipson’s upside in 2024 as a receiver. I fully expect Gipson to shine as a return man with the new kickoff rules in place, but this isn’t an offense that’s going to support more than two or three players, and those beneficiaries are pretty obvious.

Allen Lazard, WR (ADP: 309, WR124): Lazard was genuinely awful last season, and you have to give some grace due to the horrific nature of the Jets’ QB play in 2023, but he didn’t help. With Mike Williams in the picture, there’s really just no role for Lazard on this team. Don’t set a pick on fire, even if it’s your last one.