2022 Team Previews: New York Jets

New York Jets Fantasy Preview 2022

All ADP data is courtesy of Fantasy Pros.

** = target in drafts at this ADP

Top 120

**Breece Hall, RB (ADP: 44): My heart is fluttering, because the New York Jets have legitimately interesting fantasy options once again. Hall tops the list, even though he was not selected with either of the Jets’ two first round picks. A second rounder out of Iowa State, Hall was the consensus top RB in this draft class, and put up staggering production with the Cyclones. He totaled 46 touchdowns in his final two collegiate seasons, averaged well over five yards per carry in both campaigns, and notched 23+ catches in all three of his college seasons. He’s a proven workhorse, having carried the ball 250+ times in his sophomore and junior seasons. Simply put, he is a complete package, and everything a team is looking for in a three-down RB prospect. The Jets not only spent significant draft capital on him, they traded up to snag him despite having a capable option already on the team in Michael Carter.

Yes, the Jets’ offense may be one of the worst in football if QB Zach Wilson doesn’t make a leap, but Hall should see such volume that he will be good even in a bad offense. Carter could keep Hall off the field at times in passing situations as well, but these are minor concerns. Every season we see high-volume rookies carry fantasy teams to the postseason, and Hall is clearly the best bet for that outcome. I’m extremely comfortable with Hall at this ADP.

Elijah Moore, WR (ADP: 85): Moore is an interesting option, because while talented, he doesn’t have the physical profile of a big red zone target, meaning he has to either thrive off high volume or be incredibly efficient. Both of those requirements mean Wilson has to improve on last season, which is a risky gambit. It is worth noting, however, that Moore was pretty damn good regardless of whether Wilson, Mike White, Josh Johnson or Joe Flacco were throwing the ball, finishing with 43 receptions, 538 yards and five touchdowns in 11 games (six starts). And while his size makes him an iffy red zone option in theory, he’s a big play waiting to happen from further out because he lined up on the outside 72.3% of the time per Reception Perception. He posted a 67.4% success rate on nine routes, which meshes well with Wilson’s freakish arm strength, and was in the 81st percentile against man coverage, and 76th percentile vs. zone. Moore, as a rookie, was almost impossible to guard and found himself open consistently. If Wilson improves, we could be looking at an elite fantasy WR here. At worst, Moore should be a WR2, and so this ADP does not scare me.

Fantasy Relevant (121-200 ADP)

Michael Carter, RB (ADP: 100): Poor Michael Carter, he did nothing wrong last season and yet will enter 2022 as pretty much a handcuff to Hall. This ADP is probably too high, because his volume is not going to be useful with Hall healthy, and if Hall gets hurt, Carter’s not a league-winner. He averaged a respectable 4.3 yards per carry as a rookie and caught 36 balls for 325 yards. This is a good RB, who can be an RB2 in the event of a Hall injury. But I do not see RB1 ceiling here, and he’s most likely to spend 2022 getting some passing downs, and the occasional drive to spell the rookie. That’s not a player with the kind of upside I want to roster in Week 1.

Garrett Wilson, WR (ADP: 123): Wilson, a first round pick out of Ohio State, can make an immediate impact. He was electric for the Buckeyes as a junior, posting 1,058 yards and 12 touchdowns while averaging 15.1 yards per catch. Moore was pegged as a slot guy coming out of Ole Miss, but the Jets saw his elite speed and separation and decided he could do damage on the outside. Wilson has that athletic ability as well, but may be a more natural fit on this roster in the slot because of his own incredible route running and separation skills. Reception Perception notes that he posted an 87.6% success rate vs. zone, which places him in the 97th percentile in college and was the third-best number they’ve recorded since 2016. He was extremely successful on just about every route besides outs, and showed elite potential with the ball after the catch. If defenses have to pay attention to Moore on the outside or risk getting burned, Wilson can walk into the NFL and deliver body blows on intermediate routes and turn them into long plays after he secures the rock. The ceiling of these receivers is dependent on Zach Wilson’s development, but they are so talented that they’re likely to be fantasy relevant even if the QB kind of sucks. They just won’t blossom into elite options.

Zach Wilson, QB (ADP: 181): Wilson flashed the goods that made him the No. 2 overall pick at times, and when he returned from injury he dramatically cut down his interceptions. The Jets threw a lot at him; he stepped up in quality of competition massively from his time at BYU, and played behind a truly ghastly offensive line that sustained major injuries. He also had one of the league’s most pathetic receiving corps, outside of Moore who did miss time. He didn’t throw a pick in the Jets’ final five games, and was only allowed to throw 40+ times once all year. This isn’t suddenly going to become a passing bonanza in Year 2, especially after investing in Breece Hall, but with his talent level a massive leap is possible. If he can get to 20 touchdowns, he should be able to support Moore and Garrett Wilson reasonably well. Is he an option in one-QB redraft leagues? No.

Sleeper Class (200 & later)

Corey Davis, WR (ADP: 205): Davis is a quality player and a veteran leader for this receiving group, but he’s got no upside in this offense. The Jets are going young, and unfortunately for Davis, he’s just never going to justify his Top 10 pick. He’s an overall positive for a young offense, but he will not be on any fantasy teams.

C.J. Uzomah, TE (ADP: 270): The Jets are finally getting some professional TEs in the mix. Uzomah isn’t someone we should look at as a season-long TE, but he is a player I recommended with some frequency for DFS, and he found the end zone five times in 2021 for the Bengals. If he was the only quality option in this offense, he might rate as a deep, deep sleeper for weekly relevance, but I do think he can be a decent streamer.

Tyler Conklin, TE (ADP: 340): Conklin is another player who could wind up as a streaming option, as he quietly racked up 61 catches for the Vikings in 2021. He’s being completely ignored and going more than 100 picks after Uzomah, but Uzomah benefitted from playing with Joe Burrow. Conklin could just as easily be the primary TE here, and a useful play in the right matchup.

Braxton Berrios, WR (ADP:364): Berrios is sneaky good! It wouldn’t be a shock to see the Jets phase out Davis and role with Moore, Wilson and Berrios in three-WR sets. Berrios would be the slot man in those scenarios – think Hunter Renfrow – and he was better than you realize in 2021. He caught 46 passes for 431 yards, and had five games with five or more catches. Berrios was the Jets’ highest-graded receiver last year per PFF, and makes for a decent flyer in full-PPR formats. Berrios isn’t going to score touchdowns, so the ceiling isn’t high, but I do think he’s going to be a guy who sees more targets than this ADP suggests.