Daily Fantasy Football Best Bargains 2022: Week 4 Top DFS Values on DraftKings and FanDuel
The best way to cash on weekly fantasy football sites is to load up on as many stars with good matchups as possible. Due to budget restraints, however, fantasy players must sacrifice other positions to nab the stars they want.
Here, you'll find the top bargains at each position on FanDuel and DraftKings that will let you splurge elsewhere. And remember, scoring is IMPORTANT. Here are Fanduel’s and DraftKings’ scoring systems.
Quarterbacks
Baker Mayfield, Panthers ($6,600/$5,200): Mayfield has been a massive disappointment to Carolina fans, and fantasy managers hoping he’d be an upgrade for the Panthers skill players. Through three weeks he’s failed to top 235 passing yards or have multiple passing TDs in a game. That should end in Week 4, when he faces the Cardinals, whose pass defense is 30th in Pass DVOA per Football Outsiders. Mayfield has a bit more ceiling than the QBs usually found in this range, and he won’t be here again if he has a big game in this soft matchup. It’s rare to have upside when bargain hunting at QB, so if that’s your bag, this is a rare exciting week to deploy that strategy.
Mitch Trubisky, Steelers ($6,500/$5,100): Trubisky has struggled to hit even 200 yards passing in three games this season, and there are calls for him to be benched for first round pick Kenny Pickett. With the weapons at his disposal, he should be able to hold off a benching a bit longer against the Jets and their league-worst pass defense.
Running Backs
A.J. Dillon, Packers ($6,500/$6,000): Dillon has seen better than 50% of snaps in three straight games, and registered double-digit carries in all of them, but hasn’t exploded yet. His time is coming, and this week is a great opportunity for him. Green Bay’s receiving corps is just terrible, and despite Aaron Rodgers’ all-time great credentials, the Packers are likely to lean on the ground game and their defense to win games. The Patriots sans Mac Jones, and with a receiving corps that’s actually worse, qualify as a team to ground and pound into submission. Dillon is a good bet to receive 15+ carries in this one and could be in line for some positive TD regression as he only has one in three games.
Damien Harris, Patriots ($6,200/$5,300): Staying in the same game, Harris has a massive opportunity to blow up. Without Mac Jones, the Patriots are going to be forced to run the ball even more than they have already, and despite the work split between Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson, Harris has gotten double-digit attempts in the last two games and scored in both. The Packers’ D is also shockingly friendly to opposing rushers, coming in dead last in Football Outsiders’ Rush DVOA.
Kareem Hunt, Browns ($6,100/$6,000): Speaking of due for a breakout, Hunt has been quiet through three games despite seeing the opportunity you’d like to see. Hunt has seen 15 opportunities (rushing attempts + targets) in all three of Cleveland’s games, but only has one touchdown. He’s seen multiple goal line carries as well, with zero of them becoming touchdowns so far. Atlanta’s got a bottom 5 rush defense so far this year, so this is a smash spot for Hunt who is known for volcanic eruptions.
Wide Receivers
Gabe Davis, Bills ($6,500/$6,600): Davis is back, and just in time to feast on the Ravens’ secondary, which ranks last in the NFL against WR2s per Football Outsiders. Before missing last week with an injury, Davis was on the field for 96% of snaps in Buffalo’s first two games and drew 11 targets combined. Davis is a feared touchdown scorer, and this matchup should be high scoring, leading to plenty of opportunity. He has averaged 16.5 yards per catch in his career, and is at 17.9 yards this year, so if that efficiency holds in this matchup he’s going to put up WR1 numbers and be an elite value.
D.J. Moore, Panthers ($6,100/$5,300): We can’t like Mayfield in the soft matchup and not be willing to roll with his No. 1 option, D.J. Moore. Moore’s numbers have been trash, thanks to Mayfield’s horrible play, but he’s always on the field and he’s seen six targets in each of his first three games. For his career, he’s averaged 14.3 yards per reception, so if Mayfield gets it together in a favorable matchup, no one will benefit more than Moore. This could be a very cheap stack that provides big value if you are willing to stomach some risk.
Garrett Wilson, Jets ($6,100/$5,400): Wilson is not going to cost this much after this week, especially with Zach Wilson returning to the offense and adding the element of deep passing. Garrett Wilson has dominated from the jump, drawing eight, 14 and 11 targets in his first three games and putting up 162 yards in his last two games despite missing chunks of both with in-game injuries. Wilson is a budding superstar, so take advantage of this discount while it lasts. Also, the Steelers’ D is minus their superstar pass rusher T.J. Watt, which is a gift for the Jets’ ravaged offensive line.
Tight Ends
T.J. Hockenson, Lions ($5,400/$4,100): Hockenson’s been a big ol’ dud this year, failing to get to 40 yards in any game despite seven targets in his first two. He found the end zone last week to salvage his day though, and brighter times may lie ahead. Amon-Ra St. Brown is banged up, and if he doesn’t play, there will certainly be an uptick in target share. He’s also up against the Seahawks, who have the second-worst DVOA against TEs (48.4%). I still wouldn’t count on big yardage, but if he can score multiple touchdowns you’re in great shape.
Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($4,800/$3,400): Like Hockenson, Hurst has a similar outlook. He gets the third-worst defense vs. TEs on Thursday night vs. Miami, and he saw 15 targets in his first two games. The Dolphins can get after the QB, so the check down looks should be plentiful, giving him a pretty safe floor.